IADR Abstract Archives

Comparing 2 methods of statistical modeling of oral health in a population study in Uruguay

Objectives: In epidemiological studies it is common practice to work with binary variables that reflect the presence of certain diseases, which in turn may be associated with another set of variables, that in general are assumed as risk factors of the former. In epidemiological studies referred to oral health, it is common to inquire about the relationship between the presence of some pathologies and certain characteristics of the study participants through logistic regression.
The objective was to apply and compare 2 methodologies; one applying classical approach of explaining each oral disease separately from a set of explanatory variables and another using a model that allows to consider all oral diseases together for the same explanatory variables, obtaining an individual assessment , interpreted as ``sickness proneness''.
Methods: We propose to use Item Response Theory (IRT) models (specifically Rasch Model) since they allow the joint analysis of a set of variables. The most frequently used IRT models provide indicators that describe the behavior of each variable without considering the possible effect of other set of explanatory variables. To overcome this difficulty we propose to model the outcomes through a Rasch model where the behavior of subject parameters is determined by a normal distribution whose mean is modeled by a linear predictor through Generalized Linear Models (GLM).
On the other hand, it is applied for each oral disease used as response variable and the same explanatory variables four Logistic Regression models estimated independently.The pathologies are Periodontal Pocket ,Decay ,Functional Dentition,Attachement loss
Results: The data used comes from a study in people demanding attention in assistance service for the High School of Dentistry at Universidad de la República, during the period 2015-2016.

It was observed that smoking does not have a significant effect, nor does sex, while physical activity seems to be an attribute that modulates in some way the prevalence of oral diseases by increasing them.
A non-linear and increasing effect of age on the propensity to suffer oral diseases was observed
Conclusions: Through the different proposed models using IRT aproach it was possible to estimate the prevalence of the pathologies studied jointly as well as the effect of some covariables of interest.
Latin American Region Meeting
2018 Latin American Region Meeting (Montevideo, Uruguay)
Montevideo, Uruguay
2018

Behavioral, Epidemiologic, and Health Services Research
  • Massa, Fernando  ( Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay ;  Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay )
  • Lorenzo, Susana  ( Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay )
  • Fabruccini, Anunzziatta  ( Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay )
  • Álvarez-vaz, Ramón  ( Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay ;  Universidad de la República , Montevideo , Montevideo , Uruguay )
  • NONE
    Oral Session
    Oral Presentations
    Estimates of the Rasch model with covariates
    Prevalence parameters   
    EstimateZ scorep value
    Periodontal Pocket -0.989-10.65<0.001
    Decay -1.802-17.06<0.001
    Functional Dentition -0.021-0.2860.775
    Attachement loss -1.256-13.00<0.001
    LInear Predictor Estimates    
    Gender(F) -0.250-2.2110.027
    spline age C0 1.2259.506<0.001
    spline age C1 -0.646-3.354<0.001
    physical activity (ins 0.2452.1080.035

    Logistic Regression Models
    VariablesPeriodontal Pocketp-valueDecayp-valueAttachement lossp-valueFunctional Dentitionp-value
    daily_smoke0.067 0.052 0.036 0.024 
    alcohol0.104 -0.035 0.081 -0.079 
    physical activity-0.003 0.097**0.044 0.066.
    body mass index0.072 0.012 0.027 0.003 
    hip waist ratio-0.011.0.047 -0.016 0.049 
    higer blood pressure0.067 0.056 -0.019 -0.06 
    Diabetes0.042 -0.081.0.06 -0.018 
    Age0.005**-0.004**0.011**0.016**
    Gender (F)-0.028 -0.076.-0.059 0.013 
    ** <0,01 * <0,05 . <0.1